To understand why, lets start from the point we make above: the Electoral College system currently benefits Republicans, as two Republican presidents in the last 20 years have been elected despite losing the popular vote and that nearly happened a third time this year. It's called the national popular vote movement, and it's already been passed into law in many states, totaling 196 electoral votesthe states include big ones like California and New York and small ones like Vermont and Hawaii. 326 Galvez Street In the ensuing 215 years, the Electoral College system itself has changed little, although the popular vote has been rightfully guaranteed to millions more previously denied on the basis of race, gender and age. In addition to the NPVIC discussed above, there are two variations on this theme that could reduce the odds that someone could win the presidency without winning the national popular vote. That is, the compact does not go into effect until there is a critical mass of states for it to be effective. The following table shows how this would have changed the outcome in the two contested elections of the 21st century and includes 2004 for comparison. But reforming the Electoral College does not rank high among our national problems. The two parties have chosen the same year in which to nominate a person whom large numbers of Americans, probably a majority, regard as unfit (though not for the same reason). In the history of the United States, there have been six presidential elections that would have qualified for this issue and three of them have occurred since 1968. In the interactive diagram The Battleground States Biden and Trump Need to Win 270, you are able to build your own coalition of states to see how either candidate, President Trump or former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr., can win the election. Over 2.8 million more people voted for Hillary Clinton instead of Donald Trump, but it was Trump who won the White House because of the results of the electoral map. Electoral vote totals will equal 538. And the reasons people think we need to keep the Electoral College the way it is, theyre all wrong. 7. Polls from FiveThirtyEight polls-only forecast have predicted Clinton receiving a majority popular vote of 49.7 percent, with Trump behind at 43.3 percent. The threat is the effort to create a so-called . But swing states distort our national priorities, even when the president wins the popular vote. The voices of small states, like Rhode Island and Wyoming, would be drowned out. Four of the electors came from the state of Washington. The politicians are tapping into what's become a popular position with many voters, especially Democrats. The size of a state does not affect our real political preferences, even though the Electoral College system imagines that it does. Democratic presidential candidates are weighing in too. In this extraordinarily strange election year, debating the Electoral College might seem an odd pastime when so many other issues concern us. Now is the time for sober and spirited citizens from both parties to devise a new system for 2020. Thats not true either. There are also circumstances where a majority of electors might not be available, which would throw the results of the election into the House of Representatives. They do not matter because they have any special civic characteristics.
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