The MJO is predicted to be in a phase that will weaken the trade winds (the consistent east-to-west winds near the equator) over the next couple of weeks. In fact, recent correlations between El Nio and La Nia and precipitation in California hasnt really proven out as well, said Marty Ralph, director of the Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography at UC San Diego. So while La Nia and El Nio do factor into Southern California weather, another phenomenon known as the Madden-Julian Oscillation can affect whether storms hit. Friday and Saturday will be in the 90s. Plus, track storms with live radar. Were going to start seeing more significant impacts on the various sectors that use water, Null said. Additionally, we are soon going to see significant natural gas price hikes. #CAwx pic.twitter.com/RTR2Z07eWG. Climate & Weather Averages in Northern California However, from our current vantage point, there is enough evidence to support a confident forecast for El Nio. Hey there, fantastic blog post! You mention increased wind shear in the Atlantic but do not mention what happens in the Pacific. Eighty percent of the water from the state is used by agriculture. Of seven major reservoirs in Northern California, three currently have more water than they did a year ago: Lake Mendocino, up 7%; Lake Oroville, up 2%; and Hetch Hetchy, up 15%. Global warming means that we cant just say El Nio years are warmer than La Nia, since recent La Nia years (were looking at you, past 3 years!) Should I invest in a wood burning stove? The annual precipitation totals are averages based on weather data collected from 1991 to 2020 for the US National Centers for Environmental Information. The high temperature on Monday is expected to be in the low to mid 60s in the valley. Please try another search. The anticipated dreadful blue ocean event. Then something changed, Most of Yosemite Valley is closed due to potentially perilous snowpack and flooding, She felt paralyzed: L.A. woman sues Big Surs Esalen Institute for alleged use of video with N-word in class, Dramatic video from rescue of driver who plunged more than 500 feet off Bay Area cliff, Mom influencer who said Latino couple tried to kidnap her kids convicted of false report, Cooler weather to bring rare May rain, snow into Southern California, Mass shooting leaves 3 women and 1 man dead in the Mojave desert. The precipitation accumulation in the San The current water year and the 2022 water year are highlighted above. Im a nurse. Thanks for the feedback Lloyd. For decades, two climate patterns in the Pacific Ocean have loomed large in predicting weather in California and other parts of the globe. Most of Californias significant precipitation occurs in the north. If the next rainy season is another bad one, what does that mean? Regarding the megalodon, well the ocean contains many mysteries! RUSSIAN / NAPA. I feel such information should be included in starting paragraph. Heres where they were spotted. One more observation supporting the potential development of El Nio is the currently very warm far-eastern Pacific. The March average sea surface temperature in the Nio-3.4 region, our primary monitoring region for ENSO (El Nio/Southern Oscillation, the whole El Nio-La Nia system), was 0.2 Celsius (~0.4Fahrenheit) below the long-term average, according to ERSSTv5. A blog about monitoring and forecasting El Nio, La Nia, and their impacts. But its currently the best tool we have to anticipate upcoming seasonal conditions. On the other hand, La Nio dumped a lot of snow. Although the downward trend in September sea ice extent is dramatic, we have not approached the blue ocean event threshold yet, but feel free to check the Sea Ice Prediction Networkoutlook starting in early summer to see what may in store for this September.
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