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Hospitals and surgical centers recovered quickly after the initial shutdown, suggesting that adaptability, resiliency, increased knowledge of limiting transmission, and financial factors may have played a role in reestablishment of baseline surgical procedure volumes even in the setting of substantially increased COVID-19 disease burden. Professional claims without any surgical procedures were excluded. Whether these missing operations were partly associated with the 550000 to 660000 pandemic-related deaths16; decisions to defer or forgo care for nonurgent conditions, such as inguinal hernia or rotator cuff tear; or successful nonoperative management of conditions potentially requiring surgical treatment, such as appendicitis and diverticulitis, is unknown and could be a fruitful area of future research. The decisions should be based on local case incidence, ongoing testing of staff and patients, aggressive use of appropriate PPE and physical distancing practices.". It is plausible that hospitals learned how to manage risks during the initial shutdown and used that new knowledge to balance the medical and financial obligation to provide surgical care and reduce backlogged patients,21,22,23 limit COVID-19 transmission, and preserve hospital resources for surging populations of patients with COVID-19. Baseline perioperative risk should be assessed with a validated tool. The overall rate of procedures during the 2020 initial shutdown decreased by 48.0% compared with its corresponding period in 2019 (905444 procedures in 2019 vs 458469 procedures in 2020; IRR, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.44 to 0.60; P<.001) (Figure 1; eTable 1 in the Supplement). eTable 1. Incidence of nosocomial COVID-19 in patients hospitalized at a large US academic medical center, https://www.cdc.gov/flu/pandemic-resources/2009-h1n1-pandemic.html, https://www.fema.gov/press-release/20210318/covid-19-emergency-declaration, https://www.cms.gov/files/document/cms-non-emergent-elective-medical-recommendations.pdf, https://www.facs.org/-/media/files/covid19/guidance_for_triage_of_nonemergent_surgical_procedures.ashx, https://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2020/03/22/surgeon-general-fight-coronavirus-delay-elective-procedures-column/2894422001/, https://www.ascassociation.org/asca/resourcecenter/latestnewsresourcecenter/covid-19-resources-for-states/covid-19-state#top, https://www.facs.org/covid-19/clinical-guidance/roadmap-elective-surgery, https://www.cms.gov/files/document/covid-flexibility-reopen-essential-non-covid-services.pdf, https://www.hcup-us.ahrq.gov/toolssoftware/ccs_svcsproc/ccssvcproc.jsp, Total patients undergoing surgical treatment. Opening up America again: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) recommendations: re-opening facilities to provide non-emergent non-COVID-19 healthcare: phase I. Accessed June 8, 2021. During the COVID-19 surge, the overall rate of surgical procedures rebounded to 2019 baseline rates (797510 procedures vs 756377; IRR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.95 to 1.00; P=.10) (Figure 1; eTable 1 in the Supplement). These findings about the connection between COVID-19 infection and surgical complications and mortality add new variables to the equation, and hospitals and health systems around the country are adopting new policies to keep patients as safe as possible. The initial shutdown period was selected to encompass the period in which most states had governor directives to postpone elective surgical procedures and for which there were previously published data from the Veterans Health Administration.9,12 We estimated incidence rate ratios (IRRs) with 95% CIs from Poisson regression by comparing total procedure counts during these periods with the corresponding weeks in 2019. DOI: 10.1080/01605682.2023.2198557 Corpus ID: 258262844; Elective surgery scheduling considering transfer risk in hierarchical diagnosis and treatment system @article{Dai2023ElectiveSS, title={Elective surgery scheduling considering transfer risk in hierarchical diagnosis and treatment system}, author={Zongli Dai and Jian-Jun Wang}, journal={Journal of the Operational Research Society}, year .